Autoliv (ALV) Could Be 11% Below Fair Value On Q2 Earnings And Buybacks

Autoliv (ALV) is in focus after reporting second quarter 2026 earnings that paired higher sales with lower net income, along with completing a sizeable share repurchase program that retired nearly 5% of its stock.

See our latest analysis for Autoliv.

At a share price of $119.01, Autoliv’s recent 1 day share price return of 1.28% and 1 year total shareholder return of 4.67% suggest modest upward momentum, supported by the latest earnings release and the completion of the buyback program, which are shaping how investors view both growth prospects and risk.

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Autoliv now trades higher after earnings that paired softer net income with completed buybacks retiring nearly 5% of the share count. Does that combination of support and pressure still leave more upside than downside at today’s price?

Most Popular Narrative: 10% Undervalued

With Autoliv trading at $119.01 against a narrative fair value of $132.18, the widely followed view frames the stock as undervalued, with that gap hinging on steady growth, firmer margins and a higher return on equity over time.

Ongoing efficiency initiatives, including automation, digitalization, and direct labor reductions, are structurally lowering the cost base. This is likely to result in enhanced net margins and improved operating leverage even if end market volumes are flat or slightly down.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to see what really sits behind that margin story for Autoliv? The narrative leans on measured revenue growth, thicker profitability and a future earnings multiple that needs to compress. The exact mix of those levers might surprise you.

Result: Fair Value of $132.18 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, Autoliv’s story could look very different if global tariffs stay elevated or if pricing pressure from major automakers further compresses margins and cash flows.

Find out about the key risks to this Autoliv narrative.

Next Steps

Autoliv’s mix of support and pressure will mean different things to different investors, so move quickly from headline impressions to your own judgment using the 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs.

Looking for more ideas beyond Autoliv?

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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