Is Horizon Robotics (SEHK:9660) Undervalued As Revenue Growth And Profit Guidance Improve?

Why Horizon Robotics Stock Is Back in Focus

Horizon Robotics (SEHK:9660) has drawn fresh attention after issuing earnings guidance for the six months to June 30, 2026, indicating higher revenue and an expected swing from a loss to net profit.

The company projects revenue from contracts with customers between RMB 1,930 million and RMB 2,080 million, compared with RMB 1,546.07 million a year earlier, and expects net profit mainly due to fair value gains on a convertible loan.

See our latest analysis for Horizon Robotics.

Horizon Robotics' latest guidance has arrived after a sharp rebound in the short term, with a 1 month share price return of 14.46% and a 7 day share price return of 7.47% at a HK$4.75 close. However, the 90 day share price return is still down 36.33% and the 1 year total shareholder return is down 31.46%. This suggests recent momentum is improving, but longer term investors remain under water as the market reassesses both growth prospects and risk around the business and its valuation.

If earnings guidance has put Horizon Robotics on your radar, it can also be worth scanning other automation and AI hardware plays through our screener of 33 robotics and automation stocks

The rebound in Horizon Robotics after weak 1 year and 90 day returns raises a clear tension: has most of the repricing already happened, or is the recent strength only a small step toward what the valuation implies next?

Preferred Price-to-Sales of 15.9x: Is It Justified for Horizon Robotics?

Horizon Robotics last closed at HK$4.75, and on a P/S basis the stock trades at 15.9x, which screens as expensive on headline numbers while still sitting well below some reference points used in current valuation work.

The P/S multiple compares the company’s market value with its revenue, so it is often used for high growth and still unprofitable businesses where earnings are not yet a reliable guide. For a stock like Horizon Robotics that is loss making but forecast to grow revenue at 31% per year and expected to move into profit over the next three years, investors often pay closer attention to how much they are paying for each unit of sales.

According to the latest checks, Horizon Robotics is viewed as good value when compared with a peer group on this same metric, with its 15.9x P/S below the peer average of 19.3x. The stock is also trading 49.2% below an internal fair value estimate derived from projected future cash flows at HK$9.36 per share using the SWS DCF model. However, that 15.9x P/S is well above the Hong Kong Software industry average of 1.8x, and is also higher than an estimated fair P/S ratio of 9.3x that regression work suggests the market could gravitate toward over time if expectations reset.

Explore the SWS fair ratio for Horizon Robotics

Result: Price-to-Sales of 15.9x (OVERVALUED)

However, Horizon Robotics still faces risks from ongoing net losses of CN¥10,469.012 and heavy reliance on Mainland China for all CN¥3,758.268 in revenue.

Find out about the key risks to this Horizon Robotics narrative.

Another View on Horizon Robotics' Valuation

The P/S of 15.9x makes Horizon Robotics look expensive on sales, yet our DCF model points the other way. On that approach, the SWS DCF model suggests a fair value of HK$9.36 per share versus the current HK$4.75, implying the stock screens as undervalued. Which lens do you trust more?

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Horizon Robotics for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 239 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.

Next Steps

Given the mixed signals around Horizon Robotics, it makes sense to look at the numbers yourself and decide how comfortable you are with the risk and potential. To see what is currently driving optimism, take a closer look at the 2 key rewards.

Looking For More Investment Ideas Beyond Horizon Robotics?

If Horizon Robotics has sharpened your focus, do not stop there. Broaden your watchlist now so you are not relying on a single story or sector.

• Spot potential bargains early by checking companies that currently look attractively priced on fundamentals through the 239 high quality undervalued stocks.
• Prioritize resilience and sleep better at night by using the 292 resilient stocks with low risk scores to find stocks with steadier risk profiles.
• Hunt for future standouts before the crowd notices them by scanning the screener containing 510 high quality undiscovered gems.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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