ACS Actividades de Construcción y Servicios (BME:ACS) is in focus after its Coravel data center joint venture with Global Infrastructure Partners secured a first major hyperscaler contract and formally launched its global platform.
The agreement covers roughly 140 megawatts of IT load at Coravel's Dallas Fort Worth campus, with options for about 100 megawatts of additional capacity. Turner will build the facilities in phases through 2028.
See our latest analysis for ACS Actividades de Construcción y Servicios.
Despite the Coravel announcement, ACS Actividades de Construcción y Servicios has recently cooled off, with the 30 day share price return down 9.66%, even as the year to date share price return stands at 37.73% and the 1 year total shareholder return is very large.
If digital infrastructure is on your radar after Coravel, it could be worth scanning other enablers of data and power using the 35 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks
ACS Actividades de Construcción y Servicios now trades at a discount to both analyst targets and an intrinsic value estimate after a steep recent pullback. Is the market being sensibly cautious, or is it mispricing the Coravel opportunity?
On the most followed narrative, ACS Actividades de Construcción y Servicios has a fair value estimate of €118.61, sitting slightly above the last close at €117.90 and putting the recent pullback into clearer context.
The analysts have a consensus price target of €118.61 for ACS Actividades de Construcción y Servicios based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of €159.0, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just €67.5.
Curious what underpins that fair value so close to today’s price? The narrative refers to steady revenue growth, firmer margins and a higher future earnings multiple than many construction peers.
Result: Fair Value of €118.61 (ABOUT RIGHT)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, ACS Actividades de Construcción y Servicios still faces meaningful risks if data center demand cools, or if higher leverage and financing costs squeeze concession returns.
Find out about the key risks to this ACS Actividades de Construcción y Servicios narrative.
While the popular narrative pegs ACS Actividades de Construcción y Servicios close to fair value around €118.61, the SWS DCF model paints a stricter picture, with an estimated value of €87.86 per share. If cash flow assumptions prove closer to reality than earnings multiples, current pricing could leave less margin for error.
For a closer look at how this cash flow view is built, and how sensitive it is to growth or discount rate assumptions, take a moment with the Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.
Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out ACS Actividades de Construcción y Servicios for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 235 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.
Given the mixed signals around ACS Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, it makes sense to move quickly, review the numbers independently, and carefully evaluate both sides of the story using the 2 key rewards and 3 important warning signs
If you are serious about upgrading your portfolio, do not stop with ACS Actividades de Construcción y Servicios. Use targeted screeners to surface fresh, high quality ideas.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com