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The Zhitong Finance App learned that the US economy is showing resilience beyond expectations — a strong labor market, steady retail sales, and a recovery in regional manufacturing. However, for US stock investors, this “good news” is turning into actual “bad news.” Leuthold Group's latest research reveals an unsettling market pattern: when the Citigroup US Economic Accident Index breaks through the critical threshold of 40, the S&P 500 index often records negative gains within the next three weeks, and it takes an average of three months to recover lost ground. Currently, the index is as high as 50.3 — the “good news is bad news” spell is being repeated on Wall Street.

Zhitongcaijing·07/21/2026 13:57:13
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The Zhitong Finance App learned that the US economy is showing resilience beyond expectations — a strong labor market, steady retail sales, and a recovery in regional manufacturing. However, for US stock investors, this “good news” is turning into actual “bad news.” Leuthold Group's latest research reveals an unsettling market pattern: when the Citigroup US Economic Accident Index breaks through the critical threshold of 40, the S&P 500 index often records negative gains within the next three weeks, and it takes an average of three months to recover lost ground. Currently, the index is as high as 50.3 — the “good news is bad news” spell is being repeated on Wall Street.