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According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July is 85.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 14.4%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until September is 41.4%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 51.2%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 7.5%.

Zhitongcaijing·07/17/2026 22:09:05
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According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July is 85.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 14.4%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until September is 41.4%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 51.2%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 7.5%.