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Troax Group (OM:TROAX) Stock Faces Margin Squeeze As Q2 Loss Reinforces Bearish Narratives

Simply Wall St·07/16/2026 18:33:54
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Troax Group (OM:TROAX) has reported Q2 2026 revenue of €84.2 million and a basic EPS loss of €0.10, with trailing twelve month revenue at €281.4 million and basic EPS of €0.04, giving investors a clear snapshot of where the top and bottom lines currently stand. Over the last few quarters, revenue has moved from €68.7 million in Q2 2025 to €84.2 million in Q2 2026, while quarterly EPS has swung between a €0.02 gain in Q2 2025 and a €0.10 loss in the latest quarter. This sets up a mixed picture as you weigh the current share price of SEK143.2 against the broader growth outlook. Overall, the latest print puts the focus squarely on how sustainably Troax Group can defend and rebuild its margins from here.

See our full analysis for Troax Group.

With the numbers on the table, the next step is to see how this earnings profile lines up against the main market narratives around Troax Group, highlighting which storylines hold up and which get pushed back by the latest data.

See what the community is saying about Troax Group

OM:TROAX Revenue & Expenses Breakdown as at Jul 2026
OM:TROAX Revenue & Expenses Breakdown as at Jul 2026

Margins Squeezed To 0.9% On Trailing Basis

  • Over the last 12 months, Troax Group earned €2.5 million of net income on €281.4 million of revenue, which works out to a net margin of 0.9% compared with 8.7% a year earlier and includes a one off loss of €10.3 million.
  • Critics highlight that this sharp margin compression fits a bearish view that weak end markets and cost cuts are pressuring profitability, and the data gives them some support:
    • Quarterly net income swung from a €6.8 million profit in Q3 2025 to a €6.1 million loss in Q2 2026, and five year earnings have declined at an average of 18.6% per year.
    • The drop in trailing margins, alongside a reported margin impact from factors like FX in the narrative, aligns with concerns about whether current cost actions and product mix can support stronger, more stable profitability.
For readers who want to see how these pressures stack up against a fuller cautious view on Troax Group, skeptics lay out their argument in more detail in the 🐻 Troax Group Bear Case.

Revenue Growth Outpaces Earnings Pressure

  • Despite the weaker bottom line, Troax Group’s quarterly revenue moved from €68.3 million in Q1 2025 to €84.2 million in Q2 2026, and trailing revenue stands at €281.4 million, while the dataset’s forecasts point to revenue growth of about 10.5% per year and earnings growth of about 69.3% per year.
  • Supporters argue this revenue profile and the strong earnings growth forecasts back a bullish narrative that automation and warehousing demand can rebuild profitability from here:
    • The consensus narrative points to investments in warehouse automation, tighter safety standards and North American expansion as drivers that could help translate higher revenue into better margins, especially once the €10 million annualised cost savings program is fully reflected.
    • The contrast between a 0.9% trailing margin and expectations for profit margins to reach 15% in three years is what bullish investors focus on when they discuss a potential earnings recovery if volumes and pricing normalise.
If you want to see how optimistic investors join these growth drivers with detailed forecasts for Troax Group, check out the full bull case in the 🐂 Troax Group Bull Case.

DCF Gap And Rich Sales Multiple

  • Troax Group trades at SEK143.2 per share versus a DCF fair value of SEK263.65 and a single allowed analyst price target of SEK157.76, while its P/S of 2.8x sits above both the 1.5x peer average and the 2.2x Swedish machinery industry average.
  • What stands out in the consensus style discussion is the tension between a valuation that screens cheap on DCF and richer on sales multiples:
    • On one side, the share price is about 45.7% below the DCF fair value figure, which aligns with the view that the stock could offer material upside if the projected revenue and earnings paths are realised.
    • On the other, the higher P/S versus peers, combined with weaker trailing margins and limited coverage of the 1.85% dividend and interest costs by current earnings and free cash flow, underpins concerns that investors are already paying a premium for a recovery that has yet to show up in reported profitability.

Next Steps

To see how these results tie into long-term growth, risks, and valuation, check out the full range of community narratives for Troax Group on Simply Wall St. Add the company to your watchlist or portfolio so you'll be alerted when the story evolves.

With Troax Group sitting at the center of both cautious and optimistic narratives, now is a good time to review the numbers yourself and decide where you stand. To weigh the concerns against the potential upside in a structured way, start with the summary of Troax Group’s 2 key rewards and 5 important warning signs

See What Else Is Out There Beyond Troax Group

Troax Group currently faces squeezed margins, weaker earnings, and limited coverage of its dividend and interest costs by profits and free cash flow.

If those pressure points make you cautious about taking on more earnings risk, check out 292 resilient stocks with low risk scores to quickly focus on companies aiming for more resilient financial profiles.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.