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    Is Hertz Global Holdings (HTZ) A Bargain Following Russell Index Additions?

    Simply Wall St·07/09/2026 05:35:25
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    Index additions put Hertz Global Holdings in focus

    Hertz Global Holdings (HTZ) recently entered several Russell value indexes, including the Russell 2000 and Russell 3000. This broad set of additions may influence how index linked investors view the stock.

    See our latest analysis for Hertz Global Holdings.

    Despite the recent index additions, Hertz Global Holdings has faced heavy selling pressure, with the share price down 61.2% over the past month and the 1 year total shareholder return falling 72.4%, pointing to fading momentum as investors reassess risk.

    If this kind of sharp move has you looking beyond a single stock, it can be helpful to compare with other opportunities using our screener for 19 top founder-led companies

    Hertz Global Holdings still runs a large, international rental business, yet the share price slide and fresh index inclusion raise a different question: is the stock now cheap for what you get, or just troubled for good reason?

    Most Popular Narrative: 91.4% Undervalued

    The most followed narrative for Hertz Global Holdings sets a fair value of $22.85 per share against the last close of $1.97, which is a wide gap that naturally grabs attention.

    Hertz’s investment case increasingly hinges on how well it manages its fleet. Depreciation, resale values, and utilization rates drive profitability far more than headline revenue growth. Electric vehicles, once positioned as a differentiator, have been reassessed more pragmatically, with management focusing on total cost of ownership rather than branding.

    Read the complete narrative.

    Want to see what sits behind that valuation jump for Hertz Global Holdings? The narrative leans heavily on fleet economics, margin resilience and normalized travel behavior. Curious which assumptions around utilization, pricing and cost discipline have to hold for that fair value to make sense? The full breakdown sets out the financial story in detail, so you can judge how realistic it looks.

    Result: Fair Value of $22.85 (UNDERVALUED)

    Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

    However, Hertz Global Holdings still carries execution risk around its loss of $637 million on $8,695 million of revenue, as well as a share price that has fallen 72.4% over 1 year.

    Find out about the key risks to this Hertz Global Holdings narrative.

    Next Steps

    Given the mix of cautious sentiment and interest in a potential rebound for Hertz Global Holdings, it makes sense to move quickly and check the underlying drivers yourself, then weigh both the upside and the risks through the 1 key reward and 4 important warning signs

    Looking for more investment ideas beyond Hertz Global Holdings?

    If Hertz Global Holdings has sharpened your focus on valuation and risk, do not stop there. Broaden your watchlist with opportunities filtered for quality, resilience and income potential.

    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.