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To own Hershey today, you need to believe its brands and snacking portfolio can offset pressures from tariffs, cocoa costs, and a value focused consumer. The Russell 1000 Dynamic Index addition and Heather Hoytink’s appointment do not materially change the near term earnings catalyst around the upcoming second quarter results, nor do they reduce the key risk that elevated input costs and softer demand could continue to weigh on margins and growth.
The appointment of Heather Hoytink as President, U.S., is the most relevant recent development here, given her track record in commercial execution at PepsiCo. Her experience working with major customers and developing away from home channels could become important as Hershey leans on pricing, mix, and innovation like Reese’s extensions to support revenue and protect margins against cocoa and tariff pressures.
Yet despite these positives, investors should be aware that the biggest concern right now is the potential earnings squeeze if tariffs persist and cocoa prices stay elevated...
Read the full narrative on Hershey (it's free!)
Hershey's narrative projects $13.1 billion revenue and $2.1 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 3.0% yearly revenue growth and about a $1.0 billion earnings increase from $1.1 billion today.
Uncover how Hershey's forecasts yield a $216.45 fair value, a 22% upside to its current price.
Some of the lowest ranked analysts were expecting only about US$12.8 billion of revenue and US$2.1 billion of earnings by 2029, so if you are weighing that more cautious outlook against Hoytink’s potential impact on U.S. growth and margins, it shows just how far apart views on Hershey can be and why it is worth comparing several different scenarios before deciding what you think is realistic.
Explore 7 other fair value estimates on Hershey - why the stock might be worth as much as 72% more than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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