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To own Victory Capital, you need to believe its multi-boutique model, Amundi integration, and product breadth can offset fee pressure, competition from passive products, and the risk of persistent net outflows. The broad inclusion in multiple Russell value indexes mainly improves visibility and potential index-related demand; it does not materially change the near term focus on stabilizing organic flows or the key risk of ongoing fee compression and client preference for lower cost vehicles.
Among recent developments, the May 2026 refinancing of roughly US$980,075,000 in term loans stands out alongside the Russell index additions. Together, lower interest costs and higher index visibility may support Victory Capital’s capital return efforts, such as its active buyback program, which has already retired more than 7% of shares under the current authorization. Whether these capital decisions offset risks tied to acquisitions and fee pressure will depend heavily on how asset flows evolve from here.
Yet, while the index additions may seem like an unqualified positive, investors should be aware that rising passive adoption and fee pressure could still...
Read the full narrative on Victory Capital Holdings (it's free!)
Victory Capital Holdings' narrative projects $1.7 billion revenue and $863.7 million earnings by 2029. This requires 4.8% yearly revenue growth and a $570.0 million earnings increase from $293.7 million today.
Uncover how Victory Capital Holdings' forecasts yield a $86.50 fair value, in line with its current price.
Some of the lowest analysts were expecting revenue to grow only about 2.7% annually and earnings to reach roughly US$780.3 million by 2029, which is a much more cautious view than the baseline narrative. When you compare that to the recent Russell value index inclusions and concerns about rising passive adoption, you can see how sharply opinions differ and why it is worth weighing several viewpoints before deciding what this news might mean for Victory Capital’s longer term story.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Victory Capital Holdings - why the stock might be worth as much as 8% more than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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