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To own Ares Management, you need to believe in the long term growth of private markets and Ares’ ability to earn attractive, recurring fees from them. The most important near term catalyst is continued fundraising and deployment across credit and infrastructure, while a key risk is margin pressure if expansion costs outpace fee growth. The latest infrastructure debt leadership changes and new partnerships look additive to the story, but not materially game changing on their own in the short term.
Among the recent updates, the Clearstream partnership stands out, as it directly ties into Ares’ push to broaden distribution of its private market strategies. If this platform helps channel more European capital into Ares funds, it could support the fundraising momentum that analysts already see as central to the company’s earnings narrative, even as competition, fee pressure and expansion costs remain important watchpoints.
Yet beneath the expansion headlines, investors should also be aware of how rising distribution and integration costs could affect...
Read the full narrative on Ares Management (it's free!)
Ares Management's narrative projects $6.9 billion revenue and $1.9 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 5.2% yearly revenue growth and about a $1.3 billion earnings increase from $561.7 million today.
Uncover how Ares Management's forecasts yield a $145.24 fair value, a 28% upside to its current price.
Some of the most optimistic analysts were already assuming Ares could grow earnings to about US$2.6 billion, yet this new expansion push also highlights their concern about fundraising momentum and execution risk, so your view on the upside now may differ even more from theirs.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Ares Management - why the stock might be worth 5% less than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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