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To own Neurocrine Biosciences, you need to be comfortable with a story centered on INGREZZA’s commercial performance while the rare disease portfolio scales up. The removal from the Russell 1000 Dynamic Index does not materially change the key near term catalyst, which is continued INGREZZA sales execution and any guidance updates, or the biggest current risk, which is concentration in a few products amid payer pressure and potential pricing headwinds.
In that context, the fresh ENDO 2026 data for CRENESSITY in congenital adrenal hyperplasia look most relevant. They strengthen the medical case for CRENESSITY across both common and rarer CAH subtypes, but they keep the spotlight on how effectively Neurocrine can convert this clinical profile into durable reimbursement, formulary wins, and real world uptake alongside INGREZZA driven earnings.
Yet beneath the headline strength in INGREZZA, investors should also be aware of growing payer scrutiny and the possibility that...
Read the full narrative on Neurocrine Biosciences (it's free!)
Neurocrine Biosciences' narrative projects $5.1 billion revenue and $1.5 billion earnings by 2029.
Uncover how Neurocrine Biosciences' forecasts yield a $192.88 fair value, a 15% upside to its current price.
Some analysts were already very optimistic, penciling in about US$6.4 billion of revenue and US$2.7 billion of earnings by 2029, yet the latest index removal and questions about CRENESSITY reimbursement show how those bullish expectations and the concentration risk around a few drugs could look very different once new information is fully reflected in the numbers.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Neurocrine Biosciences - why the stock might be worth just $192.88!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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