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To own QuantumScape, you need to believe its solid state technology and licensing model can eventually support meaningful customer programs despite ongoing losses and high cash use. The Honda joint research agreement strengthens the near term catalyst of OEM engagement, but it does not remove the central risk that delays in Eagle Line scale up or new paid programs could prolong the period of heavy spending and limited revenue visibility.
Among recent announcements, the PowerCo agreement from July 2024 is most relevant. That deal outlines a path for industrializing QuantumScape’s cells at up to 40 GWh of capacity, with an option to reach 80 GWh. When viewed alongside Honda’s multi year research commitment, it frames a catalyst cluster around whether multiple large partners adopt the Eagle Line and Cobra blueprint at scale or remain in extended evaluation phases.
Yet beneath these promising partnerships, investors should be aware that...
Read the full narrative on QuantumScape (it's free!)
QuantumScape's narrative projects $544.5 million revenue and $33.3 million earnings by 2029. This requires revenue to grow from effectively zero today and a $468.4 million earnings increase from -$435.1 million today.
Uncover how QuantumScape's forecasts yield a $7.91 fair value, a 5% upside to its current price.
Some of the lowest estimate analysts paint a far more cautious picture, with revenue only reaching about US$26.3 million and earnings near US$1.6 million by 2029, reminding you that even with agreements like Honda’s on the table, opinions on how quickly the Cobra and Eagle Line blueprint will translate into real revenue can differ sharply.
Explore 11 other fair value estimates on QuantumScape - why the stock might be a potential multi-bagger!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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