CACI International (CACI) Stock Could Be 34.2% Undervalued After Its Recent Pullback

CACI International (CACI) has attracted investor attention after recent share price weakness, with the stock down over the past week, month, and past 3 months. This has prompted questions about how its fundamentals compare with recent returns.

See our latest analysis for CACI International.

At the latest share price of US$466.42, CACI International has seen its short term momentum fade, with the share price down 5.76% over one day and 23.08% over three months, even as the 5 year total shareholder return of 81.03% shows a much stronger longer term record.

If this recent pullback has you thinking more broadly about opportunities, it could be a good moment to scan the market for other companies with resilient leadership and aligned incentives through the 20 top founder-led companies

With CACI International shares recently under pressure despite a solid multi year track record, the key question is whether the current valuation reflects a temporary reset or if the market is already fully pricing in future growth potential.

Most Popular Narrative: 34.2% Undervalued

Compared with the latest CACI International share price of $466.42, the most widely followed narrative points to a higher fair value of $709.23, built on detailed assumptions about future contracts, margins, and funding trends.

The ongoing consolidation of government legacy systems and rising demand for digital transformation (as exemplified by CACI's role in Army system consolidation and NASA NCAPS implementation) position the company to capture more long-term, mission-critical contracts, enhancing both revenue visibility and net margins.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to see what is sitting behind that contract pipeline story? The narrative is based on steady top line expansion, improving profitability, and a richer earnings multiple. The mix of government tech work and earnings projections is where the $709.23 fair value really takes shape.

Result: Fair Value of $709.23 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, CACI International still depends heavily on U.S. government budgets, and any contract delays or tougher competition on high value awards could quickly test that undervaluation thesis.

Find out about the key risks to this CACI International narrative.

Another View: What Market Multiples Say About CACI International

While the narrative and fair value estimates frame CACI International as undervalued, its current P/E of 19.2x sits above both the US Professional Services industry at 18x and its peer average of 17.9x, and only slightly below a fair ratio of 19.7x. If the market moves toward that fair ratio, a key question is whether there is as much valuation upside as the narrative suggests, or whether the risk is that expectations are already reflected in the current price.

See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.

Next Steps

If the mixed signals around CACI International leave you uncertain, now is a good time to review the key data yourself and weigh both sides, then round out your view with the 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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