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    How Investors Are Reacting To SLM (SLM) Rising Charge-Offs And Shifts In Recovery Practices

    Simply Wall St·06/12/2026 03:31:41
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    • On June 10, 2026, SLM Corporation’s Co-President and CFO Peter M. Graham presented at the Morgan Stanley US Financials Conference in New York, while the company addressed higher charge-offs and changes to recovery practices.
    • The combination of rising charge-offs among traditionally strong-credit borrowers and planned termination of certain recovery contracts raises fresh questions about SLM’s financial resilience and credit risk management.
    • We’ll now examine how these heightened charge-offs and recovery concerns may reshape SLM’s investment narrative and outlook on credit quality.

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    SLM Investment Narrative Recap

    To own SLM today, you need to believe that private student lending remains an attractive niche and that the company can balance growth with disciplined credit risk. The recent spike in charge offs, particularly among stronger credit borrowers, puts that balance under pressure and makes credit quality the key near term catalyst, while sustained weakness in recoveries has become the most important risk to watch. If these trends stabilize quickly, the broader long term thesis may remain largely intact.

    The most relevant recent update here is management’s focus on loss mitigation, including changes to recovery practices and loan modification programs that are currently outperforming expectations. This sits alongside SLM’s push for higher origination growth and could either support the story of manageable credit costs or, if recoveries disappoint, undermine confidence in its ability to convert a larger addressable market into durable earnings.

    Yet behind SLM’s growth opportunity, the rising charge offs and contract terminations raise fresh questions investors should be aware of about...

    Read the full narrative on SLM (it's free!)

    SLM's narrative projects $1.5 billion revenue and $575.2 million earnings by 2029.

    Uncover how SLM's forecasts yield a $28.82 fair value, a 30% upside to its current price.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    SLM 1-Year Stock Price Chart
    SLM 1-Year Stock Price Chart

    Compared with consensus, the most pessimistic analysts were already assuming earnings of about US$554.0 million by 2028 and thinner margins, so the latest credit and recovery issues may push their concerns about concentrated graduate lending and higher loss content even further, which is something you should weigh against more optimistic views.

    Explore 3 other fair value estimates on SLM - why the stock might be worth as much as 92% more than the current price!

    Form Your Own Verdict

    Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.

    • A great starting point for your SLM research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
    • Our free SLM research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate SLM's overall financial health at a glance.

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.