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To own Schrödinger, you need to believe its physics based software and partnered pipeline can eventually justify ongoing losses and heavy R&D. The reaffirmed 2026 guidance suggests no immediate change to the near term catalyst around deeper software adoption, while the abrupt CCO transition slightly elevates execution risk on expanding beyond existing large pharma customers.
Among recent developments, the multi year Manas AI agreement stands out, because it highlights demand for Schrödinger’s platform from external AI builders at a time when the company is contending with lower software gross margins and heavy dependence on milestone revenue. How effectively interim commercial leadership supports similar partnerships will matter for how quickly those catalysts translate into more stable revenue.
Yet beneath the reaffirmed guidance, investors should be aware of how concentrated software revenue and margin pressure could combine with...
Read the full narrative on Schrödinger (it's free!)
Schrödinger's narrative projects $349.6 million revenue and $22.9 million earnings by 2029. This requires 11.1% yearly revenue growth and a $126.4 million earnings increase from -$103.5 million today.
Uncover how Schrödinger's forecasts yield a $20.88 fair value, a 32% upside to its current price.
By contrast, the most pessimistic analysts already assumed only about 8.7% annual revenue growth and ongoing losses, so this leadership change could either reinforce those concerns or prompt a reassessment of how realistic that slower growth path really is.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Schrödinger - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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