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To own Uber today, you need to believe its core ride hailing and delivery businesses can keep compounding cash flow while it layers on autonomous and electric options without crushing margins. The Dubai WeRide launch is a visible step in that direction, but near term the key catalyst still looks like sustaining strong free cash flow, while the biggest risk remains heavy AV related spending that may not yet earn its keep. The Dubai news does not remove that risk, but it arguably makes it more central to the story.
Among the recent updates, Uber’s disclosure of a 5.82% passive stake in WeRide stands out alongside the Dubai launch. It ties Uber not just to AV supply on its app but also to WeRide’s financial outcomes, adding another layer to the AV investment question at the same time that Uber’s advertising business and free cash flow are ramping, which many investors are watching as a key support for the current equity story.
Yet against this progress, investors should be aware that the capital intensity and uncertain profitability of these AV partnerships could still...
Read the full narrative on Uber Technologies (it's free!)
Uber Technologies’ narrative projects $75.2 billion revenue and $10.7 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 13.1% yearly revenue growth and a roughly $0.6 billion earnings increase from $10.1 billion today.
Uncover how Uber Technologies' forecasts yield a $103.68 fair value, a 44% upside to its current price.
Some of the lowest estimate analysts were assuming earnings could fall to about US$8.2 billion by 2029, even as AV progress potentially improves Mobility margins, which shows just how differently you and other investors might interpret news like Dubai’s robotaxi launch and why it can be useful to compare several viewpoints before deciding what feels realistic.
Explore 53 other fair value estimates on Uber Technologies - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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