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To own Seadrill, you need to believe its high spec offshore fleet can bridge a softer near term rig market into a healthier contracting cycle, despite utilization pressure, political delays and legal overhangs. Samir Ali’s appointment as CEO and President does not materially change the immediate catalyst, which still centers on securing continuous, profitable work for key rigs, nor does it remove the biggest risk of idle or aging assets weighing on margins and cash flow.
The recent extension and option exercise for West Saturn, adding US$114 million to backlog and stretching work into October 2027, is particularly relevant here. It highlights how execution on long duration, deepwater contracts can support cash generation and visibility while the new CEO steps in, even as the company manages risks around contract timing, day rate pressure and potential future capital needs for older units.
Yet behind this improving backlog, investors still need to be aware that...
Read the full narrative on Seadrill (it's free!)
Seadrill's narrative projects $1.6 billion revenue and $231.6 million earnings by 2028. This requires 7.2% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about $154.6 million from $77.0 million today.
Uncover how Seadrill's forecasts yield a $43.50 fair value, a 4% downside to its current price.
Some of the lowest ranked analysts were already cautious, assuming revenue of about US$1.5 billion by 2029 and earnings near US$219 million, and when you compare that with the risk of prolonged rig idle time in Angola or Brazil, it shows how differently you and other investors might weigh today’s leadership change and contract wins before deciding which outlook feels more realistic.
Explore 7 other fair value estimates on Seadrill - why the stock might be worth 10% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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