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    Weighing Intuit’s Valuation As Choppy Returns Contrast With A 14.6% Undervaluation Estimate

    Simply Wall St·03/26/2026 15:14:12
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    What recent price moves suggest about sentiment on Intuit (INTU)

    With no single headline event driving trading, Intuit (INTU) has still seen a mix of short term weakness and recent strength, leaving you to weigh its fundamentals against a choppy performance record.

    See our latest analysis for Intuit.

    Recent trading paints a mixed picture, with a 30 day share price return of 18.72% contrasting with a 90 day share price return decline of 36.75% and a 1 year total shareholder return decline of 30.10%. This points to fragile momentum around the current US$426.86 level.

    If this kind of volatility has you looking beyond a single name, it could be a good moment to scan the market for other potential opportunities using the 20 top founder-led companies

    Intuit now trades around US$426.86, with short term gains sitting beside longer term declines and a flagged intrinsic discount of about 45%. Is the market overlooking value here, or already factoring in future growth?

    Most Popular Narrative: 14.6% Undervalued

    According to the most widely followed narrative on Intuit, a fair value of $500 per share sits above the recent $426.86 price, pointing to a valuation gap that hinges on the company’s cash generation and business quality.

    What separates truly exceptional businesses from merely good ones is the quality of their cash generation. Intuit throws off free cash flow (the money left after paying all the bills and reinvesting in the business) at margins above 30%. In fiscal 2025, that worked out to USD 6.08 billion in free cash flow on a revenue base of roughly USD 18 billion.

    Read the complete narrative.

    The most followed narrative leans heavily on robust free cash flow, healthy margins, and an earnings profile that supports a premium pricing story. It also bakes in a specific path for revenue growth and profitability that you may want to see in detail before agreeing with a $500 fair value figure.

    Based on this narrative, Intuit’s fair value is set at $500 per share, which implies the stock is 14.6% undervalued relative to that estimate at the current $426.86 level.

    Result: Fair Value of $500 (UNDERVALUED)

    Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

    However, this story can shift quickly if Mailchimp’s weaker performance lingers or if a revived US tax filing program chips away at TurboTax’s customer funnel.

    Find out about the key risks to this Intuit narrative.

    Next Steps

    If this mix of caution and optimism has you on the fence, take a moment to review the facts yourself, decide where you stand, and then see how our breakdown highlights 4 key rewards

    Looking for more investment ideas?

    Once you are clear on where you stand with Intuit, do not stop there. Widen your search and let data rich screeners surface fresh candidates for your watchlist.

    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.