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To own MaxLinear, you need to believe its pivot from legacy broadband toward high-speed data center connectivity can eventually translate into healthier revenue and a path to profitability, despite current losses and pricing pressure in commoditized markets. Annapurna and the 1.6T PHY do not immediately change the key near term catalyst, which remains broader AI and cloud deployment of its PAM4 and retimer portfolio, or the biggest risk, that competitors and in-house ASICs compress margins further.
Among the recent news, the Annapurna 224G copper retimer launch is the most directly relevant. It fits alongside Rushmore and Washington as part of a broader 400G, 800G and future 1.6T offering, giving MaxLinear a more complete story around both copper and optical links inside AI data centers. If AI customers adopt these 224G copper solutions at scale, it could reinforce the data center growth thesis that underpins many of the current catalysts.
Yet, against this backdrop, investors should be aware that rising in house silicon efforts at hyperscalers could still limit MaxLinear’s long term pricing power and...
Read the full narrative on MaxLinear (it's free!)
MaxLinear's narrative projects $630.9 million revenue and $89.0 million earnings by 2028. This requires 18.6% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about $299 million from -$209.9 million today.
Uncover how MaxLinear's forecasts yield a $21.55 fair value, a 30% upside to its current price.
While consensus already expected about US$647.6 million of revenue and US$91.4 million of earnings by 2028, the lowest analysts paint a far more cautious picture around Annapurna and similar wins, reminding you that views on customer concentration and in house silicon risk can diverge sharply and may shift again as this new AI connectivity story unfolds.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on MaxLinear - why the stock might be worth just $21.55!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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