Sensient Technologies scores just 2/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown.
A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model estimates what a company might be worth by projecting its future cash flows and then discounting those back to today’s value.
For Sensient Technologies, the model uses a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach. The latest twelve month free cash flow is about $45.41 million, and analysts plus model projections extend that out to $216.76 million in 2035. Estimates out to 2028 are sourced from analysts where available, with the remaining years extrapolated by Simply Wall St based on the earlier projections.
After discounting each of these projected cash flows back to today, the DCF model produces an estimated intrinsic value of about $85.38 per share. Against a current share price around $85.62, the implied premium is about 0.3%. This points to a result that is effectively in line with the model’s estimate.
Result: ABOUT RIGHT
Sensient Technologies is fairly valued according to our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), but this can change at a moment's notice. Track the value in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted on when to act.
For profitable companies, the P/E ratio is a useful way to think about value, because it links what you pay for each share directly to the earnings that support that share price. In general, higher expected growth and lower perceived risk can justify a higher P/E, while slower growth or higher risk usually call for a lower, more conservative multiple.
Sensient Technologies is currently trading on a P/E of about 27.1x. That is very close to the Chemicals industry average of roughly 27.1x and slightly above the peer average of about 25.7x. Simply Wall St also calculates a proprietary “Fair Ratio” of 21.9x for Sensient, which is the P/E level suggested by factors such as its earnings growth profile, industry, profit margins, market cap and specific risks.
This Fair Ratio is designed to be more tailored than a simple peer or industry comparison, because it adjusts for company specific characteristics rather than assuming all firms deserve the same multiple. With Sensient’s actual P/E sitting above the 21.9x Fair Ratio, the stock currently screens as trading richer than this model suggests.
Result: OVERVALUED
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Earlier it was mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation. Narratives are introduced here as a simple story you create about Sensient Technologies that ties your view of its business, future revenue, earnings and margins to a clear fair value estimate on Simply Wall St's Community page. This helps you compare that fair value to the current price, see whether your story lines up with the market, and update it automatically as news or earnings arrive. You might lean closer to a higher fair value view around US$125 that emphasizes natural color capacity, regulation and emerging market demand, or to a lower fair value view around US$95 that focuses on cost pressures, capital needs and competitive risks.
Do you think there's more to the story for Sensient Technologies? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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