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To own NGL Energy Partners today, you have to believe the partnership can turn improving earnings into durable cash generation while gradually cleaning up a still-complex balance sheet. The new seven-year US$950 million term loan and amended revolver fit that story by swapping some near-term financing pressure and expensive preferred distributions for longer-dated, secured debt and a slimmer Class D stack. In the short term, the key catalyst remains whether recent profitability can be sustained as revenue trends soften, and whether management keeps chipping away at preferred obligations after this initial 195,000-unit repurchase. The biggest risks have shifted a little rather than disappeared: NGL is still unprofitable on a full-year basis, carries meaningful leverage, and its strong unit price run-up increases the market’s expectations for execution.
However, one financing risk in particular is worth watching more closely than it first appears. Despite retreating, NGL Energy Partners' shares might still be trading 27% above their fair value. Discover the potential downside here.Explore 2 other fair value estimates on NGL Energy Partners - why the stock might be worth 37% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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