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To own Viatris, you really need to believe the company can convert its large global generics base and emerging specialty portfolio into steadier cash generation, despite ongoing losses and pricing pressure. The latest quarter’s better‑than‑expected US$3,703.6 million revenue and tighter 2026 guidance keep the near term focused on execution and cost savings, while the biggest swing factor remains whether management can offset price erosion without letting restructuring and remediation risks at facilities such as Indore and Nashik creep back into the story.
The most relevant recent announcement here is Viatris’ reaffirmed 2026 dividend policy of US$0.48 per share, its sixth consecutive year of dividends, even as the company reported a full year 2025 net loss of US$3,514.9 million. For investors, that combination of continued cash returns and ongoing net losses sharpens the near term catalyst around free cash flow durability and balance sheet flexibility, particularly as Viatris pivots toward higher margin areas like ophthalmology with MR‑141 under FDA review.
Yet beneath the stronger quarter and steady dividend, investors should be aware that...
Read the full narrative on Viatris (it's free!)
Viatris' narrative projects $14.5 billion revenue and $419.7 million earnings by 2028. This requires a 0.9% yearly revenue decline and an earnings increase of about $3.9 billion from $-3.5 billion today.
Uncover how Viatris' forecasts yield a $14.11 fair value, a 12% downside to its current price.
Before this update, the most bearish analysts were assuming flat to slightly declining revenue around US$14.3 billion and only US$94.2 million of earnings by 2028, so compared with concerns about heavy debt and mature products, they painted a far more cautious picture that this latest guidance and pipeline progress may or may not fully address.
Explore 10 other fair value estimates on Viatris - why the stock might be worth 35% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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