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How Investors Are Reacting To Sensata Technologies (ST) Profit Rebound And New Three-Segment Structure

Simply Wall St·02/26/2026 12:27:30
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  • In February 2026, Sensata Technologies Holding plc reported fourth-quarter 2025 sales of US$917.9 million and net income of US$63.2 million, alongside full-year 2025 sales of US$3.70 billion and net income of US$31.3 million.
  • Despite lower full-year revenue and earnings versus the prior year, the company delivered a sharp quarterly profit rebound and reorganized into three segments that each achieved organic revenue growth and margin expansion.
  • Now we will examine how Sensata’s stronger quarterly profitability and new segment structure may influence its existing investment narrative.

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Sensata Technologies Holding Investment Narrative Recap

To own Sensata, you need to believe its sensor and electrical protection portfolio can convert cyclical end markets into steady cash generation, helped by operational efficiency and exposure to electrification and safety applications. The latest results show a strong rebound in quarterly profitability despite weaker full year figures, which may support confidence in near term execution. However, elevated leverage and ongoing pressure in core auto and HVOR markets still look like the most immediate risks.

The most relevant recent development is management’s guidance for first quarter 2026, calling for revenue of US$917 million to US$937 million and net income of US$88.0 million to US$91.8 million. Set against the Q4 profit recovery and the segment reorganization, this outlook will likely be a key reference point for how investors assess Sensata’s ability to protect margins while facing pricing pressure, technology shifts and cyclical softness in its core markets.

Yet behind the improving quarter lies a risk investors should be aware of, especially if price pressure in China and weaker end markets were to...

Read the full narrative on Sensata Technologies Holding (it's free!)

Sensata Technologies Holding's narrative projects $4.2 billion revenue and $495.4 million earnings by 2028. This requires 3.6% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about $384 million from $111.3 million today.

Uncover how Sensata Technologies Holding's forecasts yield a $39.13 fair value, a 3% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

ST 1-Year Stock Price Chart
ST 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Some of the lowest ranked analysts were already cautious, assuming revenue of about US$4.0 billion and earnings of roughly US$458.7 million by 2028, and the latest earnings rebound plus growing regionalization and regulatory costs could either soften or deepen that pessimism depending on how you see Sensata’s next few quarters playing out.

Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Sensata Technologies Holding - why the stock might be worth as much as 18% more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.