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To own Amphenol, you need to believe in long term demand for high speed connectors across AI data centers, automotive, industrial and communications, supported by disciplined execution and acquisitions. The latest record quarter and stronger revenue guidance reinforce that AI and datacom remain the key near term catalyst, while the biggest current risk is that this exceptionally strong demand has been pulled forward and could prove “lumpy” rather than steady. For now, the news appears to amplify, not change, that risk-reward balance.
The most relevant recent announcement to this news is Amphenol’s full year 2025 results, with sales of US$23,094.7 million and net income of US$4,270.3 million. Those figures, alongside the Q4 revenue beat and above consensus guidance, sit squarely within the thesis that AI driven datacom and other high value interconnect markets are powering growth, but they also raise the stakes if capex and acquisition spending stay elevated while end market demand eventually normalizes.
Yet investors should also weigh how quickly that pulled forward AI and datacenter demand could reverse and what that might mean for short term results...
Read the full narrative on Amphenol (it's free!)
Amphenol's narrative projects $26.9 billion revenue and $5.1 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 12.7% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about $1.9 billion from $3.2 billion today.
Uncover how Amphenol's forecasts yield a $148.60 fair value, in line with its current price.
The most optimistic analysts were already assuming Amphenol could reach about US$29.0 billion in revenue and US$5.7 billion in earnings by 2028, so in light of this record quarter and stronger guidance, you may want to consider how that bullish view, and the risk of rising protectionism and trade barriers, could both look very different once this new information is fully reflected in forecasts.
Explore 7 other fair value estimates on Amphenol - why the stock might be worth 9% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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