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For Amkor, the big-picture thesis is about believing in outsourced advanced packaging as a critical link in high-performance computing and AI supply chains, while accepting the volatility and capital intensity that come with it. The Q4 beat and US$6.71 billion in 2025 revenue reinforce that the business can earn through cycles, but the real story now is execution on a very heavy 2026 capex plan of US$2.5–3.0 billion for Arizona and Vietnam. The US$487.5 million follow-on equity and ongoing dividend signal a willingness to balance growth with returns to shareholders, although equity issuance and future lock-up expiries add some overhang risk. With the share price only slightly higher over the last week, the market reaction suggests investors see these updates as important, but not thesis-changing, for near term catalysts like utilization and margin progress.
However, investors should be aware of how much is riding on those advanced packaging investments. Amkor Technology's shares are on the way up, but could they be overextended? Uncover how much higher they are than fair value.Seven Simply Wall St Community fair value estimates span roughly US$4.62 to US$56.25 per share, underscoring how differently people view Amkor’s heavy 2026 capex and advanced packaging push. If you focus on the upside case, that spending could underpin higher earnings power, but it also raises questions about returns on invested capital, potential dilution and how quickly new facilities can fill, which may become more important than short term quarterly beats. These contrasting viewpoints highlight why it can be useful to compare several independent takes before forming your own view.
Explore 7 other fair value estimates on Amkor Technology - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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