Terreno Realty (TRNO) Valuation Check After Queens Acquisition And New California Lease

Terreno Realty (TRNO) has been active on two fronts: signing a 10 year lease for 66,000 square feet in Rancho Dominguez, California, and acquiring a large industrial property in Queens, New York.

See our latest analysis for Terreno Realty.

These lease and acquisition moves come as Terreno Realty’s share price sits at $65.88, with an 11.62% year to date share price return and a 34.87% five year total shareholder return, which may suggest gradually building momentum rather than a sharp short term swing.

If this kind of industrial real estate story has your attention, it could be a good moment to broaden your search and check out our screener of 23 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks as a fresh set of ideas.

With Terreno’s shares at $65.88, sitting roughly 6% below the average analyst price target and with a mixed picture on revenue and net income growth, the key question is simple: is there still upside here, or is the market already pricing in future growth?

Price-to-Earnings of 17.1x: Is it justified?

On simple earnings terms, Terreno Realty’s current P/E of 17.1x sits below both its peer group at 36x and the global Industrial REIT average of 17.7x. This points to a comparatively lower earnings multiple at the recent $65.88 share price.

The P/E ratio tells you how much investors are paying today for each dollar of current earnings. This is a common anchor for income driven, asset heavy businesses like REITs. For Terreno, the data suggests the market is valuing its earnings line more conservatively than many similar industrial REITs, even though its earnings growth over the past year was very strong, helped by a large one off gain of $238.1m.

Against peers on 36x earnings, Terreno’s 17.1x multiple is far lower, which is a strong relative gap. It also sits below the estimated fair P/E of 20.3x. This is the level our fair ratio work suggests the market could move toward if pricing aligned more closely with the historical relationship between fundamentals and valuation.

Explore the SWS fair ratio for Terreno Realty

Result: Price-to-Earnings of 17.1x (UNDERVALUED)

However, you still need to weigh risks such as annual net income growth of 39% and an intrinsic value premium of about 10%, which may act as potential brakes on sentiment.

Find out about the key risks to this Terreno Realty narrative.

Another View: Our DCF Model Sees Limited Value

The earnings based view suggests Terreno looks inexpensive, but our DCF model tells a different story. On that lens, the shares at $65.88 sit above an estimated future cash flow value of $59.70, which flags the stock as overvalued rather than cheap on cash flows.

If earnings multiples hint at opportunity while the cash flow lens flashes caution, which signal do you think deserves more weight right now?

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Terreno Realty for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 54 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.

Next Steps

If the mixed signals here leave you on the fence, this is a good time to review the underlying data and form your own view using 4 key rewards and 3 important warning signs

Ready for more investment ideas?

If Terreno’s mixed signals have your attention, do not stop here. Use this momentum to line up a few more ideas you would be happy to own.

• Target potential mispricings by scanning our list of 54 high quality undervalued stocks that combine pricing and fundamentals in a way that could be worth a closer look.
• Strengthen your income shortlist by reviewing 15 dividend fortresses that focus on higher yield payments supported by underlying business performance.
• Prioritise resilience by checking our 87 resilient stocks with low risk scores and see which companies score well on stability and balance sheet strength.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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