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To own Under Armour today, you need to believe the brand can reposition around profitable growth despite wider losses and a key endorsement ending. The bigger near term catalyst is whether management can stabilize margins while resetting product and marketing. The biggest risk remains ongoing pressure in core regions and channels, and this latest guidance for a deeper operating loss meaningfully heightens that concern.
The updated full year 2026 outlook is most relevant here. Under Armour now expects an operating loss of about US$154 million and a diluted loss per share of US$1.24 to US$1.25, alongside roughly a 4% revenue decline. This sharp step down from the prior profit outlook frames the Curry 13 finale less as a growth springboard and more as part of a broader reset that must contend with weaker earnings power in the short term.
Yet beneath the brand reset, investors should be aware that...
Read the full narrative on Under Armour (it's free!)
Under Armour's narrative projects $5.4 billion revenue and $191.0 million earnings by 2028. This requires 1.5% yearly revenue growth and about a $89.5 million earnings increase from $101.5 million today.
Uncover how Under Armour's forecasts yield a $6.51 fair value, a 17% downside to its current price.
Before this setback, the most optimistic analysts were banking on revenue reaching about US$5.7 billion and earnings of roughly US$281.6 million, so if you lean toward that upbeat view, it is worth asking how these new losses and digital underperformance risks might reshape that story.
Explore 15 other fair value estimates on Under Armour - why the stock might be worth 39% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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