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To own TriMas, you need to believe the company can steadily shift its mix toward higher value aerospace and packaging while improving efficiency in its legacy operations. The recent Barington share sale does not materially change the near term story, which is still driven by aerospace demand and the execution risk around fixing Packaging bottlenecks and integrating acquisitions.
The most relevant update here is management’s decision to raise full year adjusted EPS guidance after reporting 45.8% aerospace sales growth in the third quarter. That upgrade reinforces aerospace as the key earnings driver heading into results, even as investors weigh how much of that strength can offset ongoing integration and standardization challenges in Packaging.
Yet despite this progress, investors should be aware that TriMas still faces meaningful execution risk around...
Read the full narrative on TriMas (it's free!)
TriMas' narrative projects $1.2 billion revenue and $223.6 million earnings by 2028. This requires 7.0% yearly revenue growth and about a $186 million earnings increase from $37.3 million today.
Uncover how TriMas' forecasts yield a $41.50 fair value, a 12% upside to its current price.
Two members of the Simply Wall St Community currently see TriMas’ fair value clustered in a tight US$39.94 to US$41.50 range, underscoring how differently individuals can size up the same business. You should weigh those views against the company’s reliance on cyclical aerospace and industrial demand, which could leave earnings exposed if end market conditions soften, and consider exploring several alternative viewpoints before deciding how that fits your own expectations.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on TriMas - why the stock might be worth just $39.94!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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