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To own Black Hills, you need to be comfortable with a regulated utility that leans on steady earnings, heavy capital projects and constructive regulators. The recent 2025 results, with modest year-on-year improvements in sales and net income, support rather than change the near term focus on integrating large new loads and managing capital spending, while the key risk remains whether rising infrastructure investment can be recovered promptly through rates without pressuring margins.
The Ready Wyoming electric transmission expansion, placed into service in December 2025, feels particularly relevant here. With about US$300 million to be recovered through a Wyoming Transmission Rider and roughly US$50 million awaiting recovery in a future rate case, it connects directly to Black Hills’ main catalyst of regulated rate base growth, but also to the risk that any delay or shortfall in regulatory recovery could weigh on cash flows.
Yet behind this steady earnings picture, there is a growing risk that investors should be aware of around large, concentrated data center load and what happens if...
Read the full narrative on Black Hills (it's free!)
Black Hills' narrative projects $3.0 billion revenue and $375.9 million earnings by 2028. This requires 10.3% yearly revenue growth and around a $91.7 million earnings increase from $284.2 million today.
Uncover how Black Hills' forecasts yield a $80.50 fair value, a 9% upside to its current price.
Four members of the Simply Wall St Community currently place Black Hills’ fair value anywhere between US$50 and US$80.50, a wide band that reflects very different expectations around future capital recovery on projects like Ready Wyoming and invites you to weigh several contrasting views before forming your own.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Black Hills - why the stock might be worth 32% less than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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