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How Investors May Respond To Interparfums (IPAR) Rising Estimates Amid Expectations Of Lower Earnings

Simply Wall St·02/18/2026 05:28:23
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  • Interparfums, the fragrance maker behind brands such as Kate Spade and Abercrombie & Fitch, recently attracted attention after analysts revised earnings estimates higher for the quarter ended December 2025, even as they anticipated earnings would decline year over year on higher revenue.
  • This shift in expectations, alongside the company’s track record of 14.1% annual revenue growth over the past three years and strong returns on invested capital, has reinforced confidence in its ability to convert brand strength into profitable growth.
  • We’ll now examine how rising analyst earnings estimates and optimism about management’s capital allocation may influence Interparfums’ broader investment narrative.

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Interparfums Investment Narrative Recap

To own Interparfums, you need to believe the company can keep turning its portfolio of licensed prestige brands into steady, profitable growth despite fashion and retail cycles. The latest upward revisions to December 2025 earnings estimates do not materially change the near term catalyst, which is execution on upcoming launches and digital channels, or the key risk, which remains the dependence on a handful of influential fragrance licenses.

The most connected recent development is the reaffirmed 2025 guidance for about US$1.51 billion in net sales and US$5.35 in diluted EPS, which frames analyst optimism against what management has publicly committed to deliver. How the company balances its expansion in e commerce and new licenses with that concentrated brand exposure will likely shape how durable this guidance proves to be.

Yet beneath the optimism, investors should be aware that reliance on a small set of powerful licenses means...

Read the full narrative on Interparfums (it's free!)

Interparfums' narrative projects $1.7 billion revenue and $206.2 million earnings by 2028.

Uncover how Interparfums' forecasts yield a $107.40 fair value, a 7% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

IPAR 1-Year Stock Price Chart
IPAR 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Ten fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span from about US$52.71 to over US$14,448 per share, showing how far opinions can stretch. Against that backdrop, heavy dependence on licensed brands and upcoming launches raises important questions about how resilient Interparfums’ earnings could be if any major partner underperforms, so it is worth exploring several of these contrasting viewpoints in detail.

Explore 10 other fair value estimates on Interparfums - why the stock might be worth 48% less than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.