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To own RH, you need to believe in its high-end home and lifestyle platform, including outdoor, gaining traction despite a weak housing backdrop and meaningful debt. The new Outdoor Sourcebook helps reinforce the brand story, but on its own it does not significantly change the near term picture, where softer same store sales and a high net debt load remain the key catalyst and the biggest risk.
The most relevant recent development is the 5.4% share price move after the softer January CPI print, which improved market expectations for interest rate cuts. Easier financial conditions could support higher end discretionary spending and potentially help RH’s outdoor and broader assortments, but they do not remove the underlying pressures from leverage, housing uncertainty, or recent earnings volatility.
Yet against this backdrop, investors should still be aware of RH’s elevated debt levels and what could happen if...
Read the full narrative on RH (it's free!)
RH's narrative projects $4.3 billion revenue and $442.6 million earnings by 2028. This requires 9.6% yearly revenue growth and a $358.5 million earnings increase from $84.1 million today.
Uncover how RH's forecasts yield a $210.35 fair value, a 3% upside to its current price.
Lowest estimate analysts paint a tougher picture, assuming revenue of about US$4.2 billion and earnings near US$348 million by 2028, so this new outdoor push and any shift in rate cut expectations could eventually nudge those more pessimistic views in a different direction.
Explore 7 other fair value estimates on RH - why the stock might be worth 37% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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