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To own 1st Source today, you have to believe in a fairly conservative banking story: steady net interest income, disciplined credit costs and a management team that prioritizes dividend growth and measured buybacks over rapid expansion. The latest quarter, with double‑digit revenue growth, another record year of earnings and a 38‑year dividend growth streak, reinforces that narrative rather than changing it. The upcoming KBW Winter Financial Services Conference is more about signalling confidence after this run than resetting expectations, so it is unlikely to shift the main short term catalysts, which still sit around margins, loan growth and credit quality. The key risk, in my view, is that earnings growth slows while the market has already rerated the shares after a strong recent price move.
However, one risk around future growth expectations is easy to overlook and investors should not. 1st Source's shares have been on the rise but are still potentially undervalued by 48%. Find out what it's worth.Simply Wall St Community members offer three very different fair value views for 1st Source, ranging from around US$76 to a very large outlier, underlining how far opinions can stretch. Set against recent record earnings and a long dividend growth history, this spread invites you to weigh how much faith you place in continued loan growth, stable margins and conservative risk management over the next few years.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on 1st Source - why the stock might be worth just $76.33!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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