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To own Hess Midstream, you have to believe in the durability of its fee-based contracts with Hess/Chevron and the Bakken’s long-term relevance for U.S. energy infrastructure. The latest quarter’s higher revenue and net income support the story of solid earnings quality, but do not materially change the near term catalyst of throughput growth or ease the key risk that any shift in Chevron’s drilling or capital plans could pressure future volumes.
The recent decision to lift the quarterly cash distribution to US$0.7641 per Class A share, after reporting Q4 2025 revenue of US$404.2 million and net income of US$93.3 million, ties the earnings beat directly to cash returns. That growing payout will look appealing to income focused investors, but it also heightens sensitivity to any future slowdown in Bakken volumes or changes in Hess/Chevron development activity.
Yet investors should pay close attention to how dependent those cash flows are on Chevron’s long term drilling decisions and...
Read the full narrative on Hess Midstream (it's free!)
Hess Midstream's narrative projects $2.1 billion revenue and $769.1 million earnings by 2028.
Uncover how Hess Midstream's forecasts yield a $36.83 fair value, in line with its current price.
Six fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$11.87 to US$84.64 per share, underscoring how differently people see Hess Midstream’s potential. When you weigh those views against the reliance on Hess and Chevron for volumes, it highlights why understanding the core earnings drivers and contract structure really matters for judging the company’s longer term resilience.
Explore 6 other fair value estimates on Hess Midstream - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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