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To be comfortable owning Simpson Manufacturing today, you need to believe that its leadership in structural connectors and growing off-site construction exposure can support steady earnings even when housing starts are soft. The latest 2025 results look consistent with that view, as pricing, acquisitions and cost savings offset a slight volume decline, but the biggest near term risk remains a prolonged slowdown in construction activity that could test how much pricing and mix can really do.
The most relevant recent update is Simpson’s completion of its US$120.00 million buyback, retiring 699,995 shares, alongside ongoing dividends. For investors watching catalysts, that capital return sits next to cost saving programs and off-site construction growth, which together frame how management is trying to support earnings resilience if volumes stay under pressure.
Yet investors should also be aware that if U.S. and European housing starts stay weak for longer, Simpson’s reliance on pricing and acquisitions...
Read the full narrative on Simpson Manufacturing (it's free!)
Simpson Manufacturing's narrative projects $2.6 billion revenue and $432.2 million earnings by 2028. This requires 5.0% yearly revenue growth and about a $101.8 million earnings increase from $330.4 million today.
Uncover how Simpson Manufacturing's forecasts yield a $194.75 fair value, a 7% downside to its current price.
Five members of the Simply Wall St Community currently value Simpson Manufacturing between US$35.80 and US$221.69 per share, showing very wide dispersion. Against that backdrop, the recent earnings update and continued sensitivity to housing starts give you several different angles to weigh before deciding how resilient you think the business can be.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Simpson Manufacturing - why the stock might be worth as much as 6% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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