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To stay invested in Snap-on, you need to believe that professional technicians will keep paying for premium tools, diagnostics and repair information even as vehicle technology evolves and sales shift toward e-commerce. Right now, the key near term catalyst is how well Snap-on can sustain demand and pricing in a “turbulent” backdrop, while the biggest risk is pressure on its traditional franchise model and margins. The latest results modestly soften, but do not materially change, that near term setup.
The most relevant update is the February earnings release showing full year 2025 sales of US$4,743.2 million and diluted EPS of US$19.19, alongside Q4 revenue that fell short of Wall Street expectations. This mix of softer sales but steady profitability sits squarely against the catalyst of higher value diagnostic and information products, while highlighting the ongoing risk that slower technician spending or tougher buyers could constrain Snap-on’s ability to grow off its current base.
Yet beneath the steady dividend story, there is a growing risk investors should be aware of around...
Read the full narrative on Snap-on (it's free!)
Snap-on's narrative projects $5.2 billion revenue and $1.1 billion earnings by 2028. This implies a 0.8% yearly revenue decline and about a $0.1 billion earnings increase from $1.0 billion today.
Uncover how Snap-on's forecasts yield a $361.00 fair value, a 6% downside to its current price.
The more cautious analysts were already assuming roughly flat annual revenue growth to about US$5.1 billion by 2028 and a lower P/E, which reflects a tougher view than consensus; after this quarter’s softer top line, you can see how their concerns about long term margin pressure and slower growth could gain traction, so it is worth weighing those pessimistic assumptions alongside the more optimistic narrative you have just read.
Explore 7 other fair value estimates on Snap-on - why the stock might be worth 27% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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