ServisFirst Bancshares (SFBS) has drawn investor attention after a recent share price move, with the stock around $86.14 and showing mixed return patterns across the past year and multi year periods.
See our latest analysis for ServisFirst Bancshares.
Recent trading has been relatively steady, with a 30 day share price return of 10.07% and a 90 day share price return of 26.27%, while the 1 year total shareholder return of 0.93% decline contrasts with a 5 year total shareholder return of 98.59%. This suggests long term holders have seen stronger results than more recent investors.
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With ServisFirst Bancshares trading near $86.14, some valuation models suggest meaningful upside, while recent returns look more muted. Is the market overlooking its potential, or already pricing in the bank’s future growth?
ServisFirst Bancshares most followed valuation narrative puts fair value at $88, slightly above the recent $86.14 close, and builds that view off detailed revenue, margin, and discount rate assumptions.
Expansion of commercial lending teams and ongoing hiring in key Southeastern markets positions the company to capitalize on robust population and business growth in the Sun Belt, supporting above average organic loan and deposit growth, which is likely to drive top line revenue and long term earnings growth.
Curious what earnings path, revenue mix, and profit margins are baked into that $88 figure, and how a single valuation model ties them together? The full narrative unpacks those assumptions step by step, including the projected earnings level and the profit multiple it would need to trade on to make that price hold up.
Result: Fair Value of $88 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, that story could change if credit costs rise further in commercial real estate, or if deposit growth remains pressured and funding becomes more expensive.
Find out about the key risks to this ServisFirst Bancshares narrative.
Our DCF model suggests ServisFirst Bancshares is trading about 40.7% below an estimated fair value of $145.17. However, the market is valuing the shares at a P/E of 17x, which is higher than both the US Banks industry at 11.9x and the fair ratio of 14.7x. Is this a margin of safety, or a premium that could limit upside?
See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.
If you look at the numbers and reach a different conclusion, or simply prefer to build your own view from the ground up, you can shape your own narrative in just a few minutes: Do it your way.
A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding ServisFirst Bancshares.
If ServisFirst has sharpened your thinking, do not stop here. The best portfolios usually come from comparing many solid candidates before committing fresh capital.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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