PTC (PTC) is back in focus after a stronger than expected quarter, higher full year guidance, and a fresh FlexPLM client win that together highlight current demand for its product lifecycle software.
See our latest analysis for PTC.
PTC shares have bounced in the very short term, with a 1 day share price return of 3.97% after earnings and fresh client wins. However, the 90 day share price return of 12.72% and 1 year total shareholder return of 8.38% show that recent momentum has cooled compared with the longer multi year picture.
If PTC’s AI and industrial software story has your attention, it can be worth widening the lens and checking out 57 profitable AI stocks that aren't just burning cash as potential next ideas.
With PTC delivering stronger quarterly numbers, raising full-year guidance, and trading at a discount to the average analyst price target and some intrinsic value estimates, the key question is whether there is still upside potential or if the market is already pricing in future growth.
PTC's most followed narrative pins fair value at $195 per share versus the last close of $156.77, which frames the current debate around its long term upside.
The transition to SaaS and subscription-based models is generating more predictable, recurring revenues and is expected to deliver natural operating leverage. Non-GAAP operating expenses are growing at half the rate of ARR, which should allow free cash flow growth to outpace ARR growth and eventually increase operating margins.
Read the complete narrative. Read the complete narrative.
Want to see how this story ties recurring revenue, rising margins, and a richer earnings multiple together? The fair value hinges on a specific growth glidepath and a premium P/E that analysts still treat as justified for PTC's profile.
Result: Fair Value of $195 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, you still need to weigh the risk that SaaS transition friction or further churn in areas like ServiceMax could undercut the recurring revenue story that investors are leaning on.
Find out about the key risks to this PTC narrative.
If you see the numbers differently or simply want to test your own view against the data, you can build your version of the story in minutes by starting with Do it your way.
A great starting point for your PTC research is our analysis highlighting 5 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
If PTC has sharpened your thinking, do not stop here. You may miss useful opportunities if you skip the broader universe of stocks that fit your style.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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