• EN

    • -+ 0.00%
    -+ 0.00%
    -+ 0.00%

    Assessing MPLX (MPLX) Valuation After US$1.4b Senior Notes Fuel Growth And Capital Return Plans

    Simply Wall St·02/14/2026 10:24:14
    Listen to the news

    MPLX (MPLX) has just raised over US$1.4b through senior unsecured notes, supported by new supplemental indentures and an underwriting agreement, drawing fresh attention to how its balance sheet lines up with its midstream growth plans.

    See our latest analysis for MPLX.

    The latest senior note issuance and fresh exhibits under the shelf registration come after a run of corporate activity, including early February earnings, ongoing M&A interest and the completion of prior buybacks. These developments coincide with a 90 day share price return of 6.8% and a 5 year total shareholder return of 263.38%. This suggests longer term momentum remains stronger than the recent 2.47% 30 day share price gain might imply.

    If this fixed income move has you thinking about other energy infrastructure names, it could be a good moment to scan our list of 25 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks for more ideas.

    With MPLX trading near its analyst price target yet screening as discounted on some intrinsic metrics and carrying a lower P/E than its industry, investors may question whether there is still upside potential or if future growth is already reflected in the current price.

    Most Popular Narrative: 1.4% Undervalued

    With MPLX last closing at $56.83 against a narrative fair value of $57.62, the current setup frames a tight valuation gap driven by specific growth and margin assumptions.

    The company's disciplined capital allocation prioritizing mid-teens returns on investment, maintaining low leverage, and growing both organic and bolt-on projects positions MPLX for continued mid-single-digit annual EBITDA growth and double-digit distribution increases, enhancing total capital returns to unitholders.

    Read the complete narrative.

    Curious how those capital return goals stack up against the projected revenue path, margin shift, and future P/E that underpin this fair value story? The full narrative lays out a detailed earnings roadmap, the contract profile behind cash flow stability, and the valuation multiple required to make the math work. Want to see exactly which assumptions have to hold for MPLX to earn its current price tag?

    Result: Fair Value of $57.62 (UNDERVALUED)

    Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

    However, there are still real swing factors here, including exposure to U.S. oil and gas cycles and the risk that large growth projects or acquisitions fail to earn their keep.

    Find out about the key risks to this MPLX narrative.

    Build Your Own MPLX Narrative

    If you see the numbers differently or just want to test your own assumptions against the data, you can quickly build a personalized MPLX story and Do it your way

    A great starting point for your MPLX research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

    Ready for more investment ideas?

    If you are serious about sharpening your portfolio, do not stop at one stock. Let the data work for you and see what else stands out.

    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.