When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 19x, you may consider BJ's Restaurants, Inc. (NASDAQ:BJRI) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 27.6x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
With earnings growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, BJ's Restaurants has been relatively sluggish. It might be that many expect the uninspiring earnings performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Check out our latest analysis for BJ's Restaurants
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as BJ's Restaurants' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 6.9% gain to the company's bottom line. However, due to its less than impressive performance prior to this period, EPS growth is practically non-existent over the last three years overall. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 69% as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 16% growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that BJ's Restaurants' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that BJ's Restaurants maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for BJ's Restaurants you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.