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To stay invested in Performance Food Group, you have to believe that its scale, distribution reach, and acquisition track record can offset thin margins and sector volatility. The latest quarter, with higher sales but profit pressure from Cheney Brothers integration costs, deflation, and facility spend, mainly reinforces that the key short term catalyst is successful integration and cost control, while the biggest current risk is that elevated expenses and weaker pricing power persist longer than investors expect.
The most relevant update here is management’s reaffirmation that the M&A pipeline “remains robust” while it actively evaluates new deals, even as Cheney Brothers integration costs weigh on margins. That stance keeps acquisition driven expansion at the center of the thesis, but also underlines how each additional transaction can add to leverage, integration complexity, and exposure to changing interest costs at a time when refinancing activity, such as the new 2034 notes, is already in focus.
Yet investors should be aware that ongoing acquisition activity could still leave PFG with higher leverage, tougher integrations, and...
Read the full narrative on Performance Food Group (it's free!)
Performance Food Group's narrative projects $74.2 billion revenue and $830.1 million earnings by 2028. This requires 7.4% yearly revenue growth and a $489.9 million earnings increase from $340.2 million.
Uncover how Performance Food Group's forecasts yield a $117.46 fair value, a 20% upside to its current price.
Two fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community cluster between US$117.46 and US$136.70 per share, showing how far private views can stretch. When you set those opinions against the current integration cost pressures and deflation driven margin headwinds, it underlines why you should weigh several perspectives before deciding how PFG’s performance might evolve.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Performance Food Group - why the stock might be worth just $117.46!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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