Fresh Del Monte Produce (FDP) Valuation Check After Recent Share Price Momentum

Why Fresh Del Monte Produce (FDP) Is On Investors’ Radar

Fresh Del Monte Produce (FDP) has caught investor attention after a period where its shares show mixed short term moves but stronger longer term total returns, inviting a closer look at how the business is currently positioned.

See our latest analysis for Fresh Del Monte Produce.

At a share price of $38.26, Fresh Del Monte Produce has seen a 6.25% 1 month share price return and an 8.32% year to date share price return, while its 1 year total shareholder return of 29.57% suggests momentum has been building over a longer horizon.

If this kind of steady progress has you thinking about what else might be setting up for long term gains, take a look at our 22 top founder-led companies as a starting point.

With a value score of 5, an indicated intrinsic discount of about 44% and a 20% gap to one analyst price target, the key question is whether Fresh Del Monte is genuinely undervalued or if the market is already pricing in future growth?

Most Popular Narrative: 16.8% Undervalued

With Fresh Del Monte Produce last closing at $38.26 against a widely followed fair value of $46, the narrative is framing the current price as a discount that rests on some very specific earnings and margin expectations.

Expanding premium fruit varieties, supply diversification, innovation in value-added products, and disciplined financial management are driving market leadership, stable margins, and growth opportunities.

Read the complete narrative. Read the complete narrative.

Curious what kind of revenue trajectory and margin profile supports that higher fair value tag, especially with a discount rate above 6% and a future earnings multiple below the wider US Food sector? The full narrative explains how modest sales growth, shifting profit margins and a higher P/E in a few years are combined to reach that $46 figure.

Result: Fair Value of $46 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, there are still key risks, including climate related supply disruptions and higher long term compliance and logistics costs, that could challenge this undervalued story.

Find out about the key risks to this Fresh Del Monte Produce narrative.

Build Your Own Fresh Del Monte Produce Narrative

If you see the story differently or want to test your own assumptions against the numbers, you can build a personalised view of Fresh Del Monte in just a few minutes, then Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Fresh Del Monte Produce research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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