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    A Look At Star Bulk Carriers (SBLK) Valuation As Earnings Growth Outpaces Softer Revenue Expectations

    Simply Wall St·02/10/2026 14:15:42
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    Star Bulk Carriers (SBLK) heads into its February 25, 2026 earnings release with expectations for EPS of $0.59, and the market closely watching that projected 73.53% jump versus last year.

    See our latest analysis for Star Bulk Carriers.

    The share price at US$23.29 reflects strong recent momentum, with a 30-day share price return of 18.58% and a 1-year total shareholder return of 51.27%, suggesting investors are currently rewarding the earnings outlook more than near term revenue questions.

    If the setup around Star Bulk Carriers has you thinking about what else is moving, it could be a good moment to broaden your search with 22 top founder-led companies.

    With earnings expected to rise and the stock already up strongly, the key question is whether Star Bulk Carriers is still trading at a discount or if the market has already fully reflected the recent positive developments.

    Most Popular Narrative: 60% Undervalued

    With Star Bulk Carriers last closing at $23.29 against a narrative fair value of $23.43, the widely followed thesis sees value that the share price has not fully reflected, built on a detailed set of long term earnings and margin assumptions.

    The ongoing replacement of older, less efficient vessels with newbuilds and eco upgrades positions the fleet to benefit from tightening global emissions standards, enabling lower operating expenses and potential for higher charter rates, thereby supporting improved net margins and overall earnings. Limited new vessel supply, caused by a historically low orderbook, strong shipyard constraints, and uncertainty around future green technologies, should maintain a tight tonnage market through 2027, allowing Star Bulk to benefit from stronger utilization and higher time charter revenues.

    Read the complete narrative.

    Curious what sits behind that fair value label. Earnings expected to ramp, margins reshaped, and a future profit multiple that looks very different to today. Want the full picture.

    Result: Fair Value of $23.43 (UNDERVALUED)

    Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

    However, this hinges on dry bulk demand not staying weak and on Star Bulk managing its US$1.12b debt load if freight rates or cash flows tighten.

    Find out about the key risks to this Star Bulk Carriers narrative.

    Build Your Own Star Bulk Carriers Narrative

    If this storyline does not quite match your view, or you would rather test the numbers yourself, you can build a fresh thesis in minutes by starting with Do it your way.

    A great starting point for your Star Bulk Carriers research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.