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    Post Holdings (POST) Is Up 12.5% After Raising Guidance And Expanding Buybacks - What's Changed

    Simply Wall St·02/10/2026 13:12:45
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    • Post Holdings recently reported first-quarter 2026 results showing sales of US$2,174.6 million and net income of US$96.8 million, alongside board appointments, a new Post Consumer Brands CEO effective April 1, 2026, and shareholder approval of amendments to its Articles of Incorporation.
    • The company also completed a US$122.1 million share repurchase tranche, authorized a new US$500 million buyback program, and highlighted strong performance and raised guidance driven by its Foodservice segment and operational efficiency.
    • We will now examine how this combination of upgraded guidance, Foodservice strength and fresh leadership appointments may influence Post Holdings’ investment narrative.

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    What Is Post Holdings' Investment Narrative?

    For Post Holdings to make sense in a portfolio, you need to be comfortable with a steady, moderately growing food business that is leaning hard on operational execution and capital returns rather than rapid expansion. The recent quarter underlined that trade-off: higher sales but softer net income and margins, alongside a jump in the share price after management raised guidance on the back of Foodservice strength and efficiency gains. The new US$500 million buyback builds on the completed US$122.1 million tranche and signals that management is prioritizing shareholder returns, even though interest cover is not especially robust and earnings growth has been uneven. Leadership changes at Post Consumer Brands and on the board add another moving piece. If Pearson can sharpen execution in cereals and pet food, that could reinforce the upgraded outlook, but it also introduces execution risk in Post’s largest branded unit at a sensitive time.

    However, one developing risk that investors should be watching closely sits on the balance sheet. Post Holdings' shares have been on the rise but are still potentially undervalued. Find out how large the opportunity might be.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    POST 1-Year Stock Price Chart
    POST 1-Year Stock Price Chart
    Four fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community range from about US$104 to a very large US$747 per share. That spread sits against a story now shaped by upgraded guidance, buybacks and leadership changes, which could all influence how the market ultimately prices Post’s slower growth profile and balance sheet risk.

    Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Post Holdings - why the stock might be worth over 6x more than the current price!

    Build Your Own Post Holdings Narrative

    Disagree with this assessment? Create your own narrative in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.