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To own ManpowerGroup today, you need to believe that a mature, global staffing franchise can work through a difficult earnings patch and still convert its scale and client relationships into sustainable cash generation over time. The latest results complicate that story: Q4 2025 showed a clear earnings rebound, but the full-year loss underlines how fragile profitability has become, especially with revenue growth expected to be modest and return on equity still weak. In the near term, the key catalysts remain margin recovery, disciplined use of the new US$600 million credit facility, and whether management reins in capital returns like dividends and buybacks to protect the balance sheet. At the same time, the combination of an uncovered dividend, higher debt costs and elevated CEO pay while unprofitable keeps execution risk front and center. Yet behind the Q4 improvement, one financial pressure point stands out that investors should not ignore.
Despite retreating, ManpowerGroup's shares might still be trading 45% above their fair value. Discover the potential downside here.Eight fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span from about US$36 to a very large US$12,495 per share, showing just how far apart individual views can be. When you set that against ManpowerGroup’s recent swing to a full-year loss and its reliance on tighter margin control, it underlines why many market participants are weighing both upside potential and balance sheet risk very carefully. You may want to review several of these viewpoints before deciding how this fits into your own expectations for the business.
Explore 8 other fair value estimates on ManpowerGroup - why the stock might be worth just $36.16!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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