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For Itron, the core belief you need to have as a shareholder is that utilities will keep turning to granular grid data, distributed intelligence and AI to manage a more electrified and risk‑prone grid, and that Itron can monetize that role at reasonable margins. The recent string of announcements around Grid Edge Intelligence, wildfire mitigation and AI partnerships with Microsoft, Snowflake, PG&E and Toumetis reinforces the existing thesis rather than rewriting it. In the near term, the most important catalysts still look like execution on the current revenue base, conversion of the broader AMI and DI pipeline, and use of the new US$250 million buyback authorization. Where the news may shift the narrative is on risk: it slightly reduces concerns about Itron being left behind in AI, but it also increases dependency on a relatively concentrated set of large North American utility and cloud partners.
However, one key concentration risk here is easy to underestimate. Itron's shares have been on the rise but are still potentially undervalued by 47%. Find out what it's worth.Explore 6 other fair value estimates on Itron - why the stock might be worth as much as 90% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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