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For Neogen to make sense in a portfolio, you have to be comfortable backing an unprofitable, transition-stage animal and food safety company that is reshaping its leadership and cost base while trying to stabilize flat revenues. The HYCOAT recall adds a fresh wrinkle here: it brings product-quality and third-party manufacturing risk into sharper focus just as the new commercial team is trying to execute on upgraded full-year earnings guidance. At this stage, the recall looks more like a contained operational setback than a thesis-breaking event, but it does raise the bar for management to prove that quality systems can keep pace with growth ambitions. With the share price already up sharply in recent months, any sign that recall-related costs, regulatory scrutiny, or reputational damage broaden out could matter more in the short term than it otherwise would have.
However, the recall highlights an extra layer of risk around Neogen’s reliance on third-party manufacturing. Neogen's shares have been on the rise but are still potentially undervalued. Find out how large the opportunity might be.Three fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$8.17 to US$27.22 per share, underscoring how far apart individual views can be. When you set that wide band against Neogen’s recent recall-driven quality concerns and ongoing lack of profitability, it becomes even more important to weigh multiple viewpoints on what could realistically drive a sustained improvement in the business.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Neogen - why the stock might be worth 24% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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