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    Core & Main (CNM) Is Up 8.1% After EPS Seen Rising Despite Revenue Dip Has The Bull Case Changed?

    Simply Wall St·02/09/2026 03:07:45
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    • In recent sessions, Core & Main drew attention as analysts projected higher year-over-year earnings per share for its upcoming report, even while revenue is expected to fall compared with the prior period.
    • An interesting angle for investors is how the company’s multi-year revenue expansion, EPS uplift from share repurchases, and growing free cash flow margin together support a stronger financial profile.
    • Next, we will explore how the combination of anticipated EPS growth and expanding free cash flow shapes Core & Main’s investment narrative.

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    What Is Core & Main's Investment Narrative?

    To own Core & Main, you have to be comfortable backing a business that leans on steady infrastructure demand, disciplined capital allocation, and a willingness to use buybacks to push EPS higher even when sales flatten. The latest move in the share price and the upbeat EPS expectations, despite softer revenue projections, reinforce that the near term story is more about margin resilience and capital returns than top line acceleration. That does not fundamentally change the key catalysts, which still center on execution in higher value product lines, successful M&A integration, and how effectively the enlarged buyback program is deployed. It does, however, sharpen existing risks: a highly valued stock with slower expected revenue growth, elevated leverage, and a relatively new management team now has less room for operational missteps.

    However, one issue around debt and profitability deserves closer attention from shareholders. Core & Main's shares are on the way up, but they could be overextended by 6%. Uncover the fair value now.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    CNM 1-Year Stock Price Chart
    CNM 1-Year Stock Price Chart
    Three Simply Wall St Community fair value estimates span roughly US$54.58 to almost US$75, underlining how differently people see Core & Main’s potential. When you set that against the recent optimism around EPS growth and buybacks, it becomes even more important to weigh how much balance sheet risk and slower revenue growth you are prepared to accept.

    Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Core & Main - why the stock might be worth as much as 30% more than the current price!

    Build Your Own Core & Main Narrative

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.