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To own Tyler Technologies, you have to believe in its role as a long‑term partner to governments modernizing courts, payments, and regulatory systems, even after a year of sharp share price declines. The new US$1.00 billion buyback authorization and the US$212.5 million For The Record acquisition plug directly into that story: management is signaling confidence in the business while leaning harder into AI‑enabled courts and justice, an area where it already has scale. In the near term, the key catalysts still hinge on execution against cloud migrations, stable government IT budgets, and how Q4 2025 results and 2026 guidance land with a market that has been punishing high multiples. The latest capital moves do not remove the main risks around valuation, slower forecast revenue growth, and relatively low returns on equity, but they do sharpen the focus on Tyler’s capital allocation discipline.
However, one important risk in Tyler’s story is easy to overlook at first glance. Despite retreating, Tyler Technologies' shares might still be trading 22% above their fair value. Discover the potential downside here.Explore 8 other fair value estimates on Tyler Technologies - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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