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To own Tuya, you need to believe in its evolution from a generic IoT platform into a differentiated AI infrastructure provider, with enough pricing power to justify a premium multiple and still fund dividends and buybacks. The Spielwarenmesse launch fits that narrative neatly: the AI toy suite and AI Agent Development Platform extend Tuya’s “picks and shovels” model into a new consumer category, but near term they look more like a catalyst for sentiment than a driver of financials. The bigger short term levers still sit in sustaining recent profitability, monetising its AI platform across more verticals, and executing its sizeable buyback authorization. On the risk side, Tuya’s valuation, dividend coverage and reliance on keeping its AI offering competitive remain front of mind, and the new toy push adds product and execution risk rather than removing it.
However, investors should also be aware of how thin Tuya’s earnings cover its dividend. Tuya's shares have been on the rise but are still potentially undervalued by 9%. Find out what it's worth.Explore 11 other fair value estimates on Tuya - why the stock might be worth as much as 69% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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