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To own Dynex Capital, you have to be comfortable with a mortgage REIT whose story hinges on disciplined interest rate risk management, the pricing of agency mortgage-backed securities and the reliability of its dividend. The latest quarter’s strong net income, continued US$0.17 monthly dividend and US$393 million equity raise all reinforce a thesis built around scale in Agency RMBS and CMBS, even if recent share dilution is a trade-off. The appointment of Meakin Bennett as COO, alongside an expanded remit for CFO Robert Colligan, slightly recalibrates the short term catalysts: execution around deploying new capital into MBS markets and maintaining funding discipline now looks even more central than pure earnings growth. At the same time, the government’s MBS purchase plan could be a meaningful near term swing factor, while balance sheet leverage and a relatively inexperienced management bench remain key risks to watch.
However, one key risk around funding and leverage is something investors should be very aware of. Dynex Capital's share price has been on the slide but might be up to 39% below fair value. Find out if it's a bargain.Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Dynex Capital - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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